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If you follow the mainstream news, you'd never know it, but the country is much better off today than it was two years ago, when voters elected Donald Trump as president. The proof is in the poll numbers.
The IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index dipped from lofty levels at the start of November thanks to a lousy October for the Dow Jones and S&P 500 index, despite more good news about jobs and wage growth. Yet support for federal economic policies ticked up to a new 13-year high ahead of Tuesday's election, lifted by the highest approval the IBD/TIPP Poll has seen among Republicans.
LOS ANGELES -- November 5, 2018 -- The IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index, a leading national poll on consumer confidence, declined 2.4 percent in October to an overall reading of 56.4. The decrease was largely attributed to a 6.6 percentage drop in the Personal Financial Outlook component of the index. The index continues its record run in positive territory, however. The Economic Optimism Index has now spent 26 consecutive months above 50. An index reading below 50 for the IBD/TIPP indexes indicates pessimism, while above 50 signals optimism.
With voter interest in the midterm elections at historic heights, Democrats opened up a 9-point lead over Republicans on the question of who should control Congress after the midterm elections, while President Donald Trump's approval rating remained unchanged at 40%, according to the latest IBD/TIPP Poll.
President Reagan won a landslide election in 1980 when he asked voters a simple question: "Are you better off than you were four years ago?" Voters knew they weren't. Midterm voters should be asking themselves that same question now, before casting their ballots next Tuesday. Only this time, the answer is yes.
RAMSEY, N.J., November 1, 2018 (Newswire.com) - Consumer demand for new vehicles decelerated this month, as high car prices and rising interest rates keep an increasing number of potential buyers from entering the market. TechnoMetrica’s Auto Demand Index fell six points, or five percent, in October to a score of 112, marking the second straight monthly decline in the measure. Thus, we expect new vehicle sales to continue easing from the stellar pace set during the first half of the year, though the industry will remain in good shape thanks to a growing demand for SUVs.
Despite the overwhelmingly negative coverage of his administration, President Donald Trump's approval rating is as high or higher than half of the previous six presidents at this point in their first terms. You won't believe who scored better.
A year before ObamaCare became law, an IBD/TIPP Poll warned that it would lead to doctor shortages because many would quit or retire early. New evidence shows that our warnings were dead on.
I was driving along a country road in Monmouth County the other day when I came upon a farm stand.
I pulled over to pick up some produce and got to talking with the lady who ran the stand. The subject turned to politics. It turned out she was a big Donald Trump supporter.
Democrats have been very busy lately trying to tell the public that theirs is not an extremist socialist party. But the public sees through the smoke screen. Just a third now see the Democratic Party as mainstream.
Investor’s Business Daily with a poll — and, by the way, I need to repeatedly remind you that the IBD poll remains one of the most accurate polls in recent years in predicting the outcome of various elections, including presidential. What they have determined in this latest poll is: “Public Turned Off by Media’s Relentlessly Negative Coverage of Trump — 55% of the public says they’ve grown ‘weary from the media’s persistently negative coverage of President Trump.’
After failing in its attempt to delegitimize and defeat Donald Trump through persistently negative coverage of the candidate throughout the recent campaign, the establishment news media might have been expected to acknowledge its failures and make some effort toward restoring objectivity to journalism.
If you're keeping score at home, the tally is Raghavan Mayur 2, Karl Rove zero.
A lot of people are walking into Raghavan Mayur’s office in Ramsey these days to ask how he conducts polls.
In the cornucopia of pro-Clinton polling that preceded the 2016 presidential election, two polls stood out as outliers: the USC/LA Times tracking poll and the Investor's Business Daily/TIPP tracking poll.
All night long, we heard the news networks talk about how "all" the polls and pundits were wrong. They were saying that Clinton is underperforming expectations, and voters were coming out for Trump in numbers no one had expected.
With the 2016 election nearly upon us, the political world is once again awash with presidential polls. Many of them show very different things, with some showing Hillary Clinton ahead and others Donald Trump. They can't all be right. How can you tell which polls to trust?
Long before blogger Nate Silver shot to fame for his 2012 election predictions, there was Raghavan Mayur.
The venerated Gallup Poll took a beating this year for being such an outlier in its predictions of who would win the presidency, and the New York Times's Nate Silver has now served up further evidence that the firm has lost its mojo. Silver analyzed the results obtained by about two dozen top polling firms that ran multiple surveys in the last three weeks of the campaign and then ranked the pollsters based on their accuracy: Gallup came in dead last, with an average error of 7.2 points compared to the actual results.
