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In just the past week or so, we've had a nuclear showdown with North Korea, a trade spat with China, an investigation of the president's campaign for possible collusion with the Russians, a riot in Charlottesville, Va., that revealed a widening political split among Americans, and growing left-wing rage directed at a sitting American president. So why isn't the economy falling apart?
President Trump's approval rating is at an all-time low in a new poll amid losses in support from key demographics.
The IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index, a leading national poll on consumer confidence, showed positive momentum this month, climbing 4.6 percent to 52.2 and above the 12-month average of 51. This marks the eleventh consecutive month in positive territory, which is the longest stretch in more than a decade. It is also the highest reading since March, ending a slight four-month slide. The overall economic optimism reading is notable because it stands in sharp contrast to President Trump’s approval ratings, which dropped across all measures of the separate Presidential Leadership Index.
President Trump's approval rating dropped 5 percentage points in August to a new low of 32%, according to the latest IBD/TIPP Poll, with 59% saying they disapprove of the job he's doing as president.
Is Special Counsel Robert Mueller's Russia investigation in trouble? Officially, the answer is no. But the results of a new IBD/TIPP Poll suggest that many Americans are highly skeptical of both Mueller and the ongoing investigation into Russian meddling in last year's election.
Most national pollsters are back churning out biased and misleading poll numbers after recovering from their shock over President Donald Trump’s 2016 election victory, according to The Daily Caller News Foundation Investigative Group analysis.
“I do know inherently there is a Democratic bias in the polls. And most of them will deny it” says Raghavan Mayur, an independent pollster who is president of TechnoMetrica, which leads the polling operations at Investor’s Business Daily.
Even before North Korea's successful launch of an intercontinental ballistic missile capable of reaching the U.S. mainland, nearly four in 10 backed military action against the rogue communist state, the July IBD/TIPP poll found.
Most Americans doubt Russia influenced the 2016 presidential election, and almost half believe the ongoing investigation to be a "political 'witch hunt'" to get President Donald Trump impeached, according to a new poll from Investor's Business Daily.
Investor’s Business Daily with a poll — and, by the way, I need to repeatedly remind you that the IBD poll remains one of the most accurate polls in recent years in predicting the outcome of various elections, including presidential. What they have determined in this latest poll is: “Public Turned Off by Media’s Relentlessly Negative Coverage of Trump — 55% of the public says they’ve grown ‘weary from the media’s persistently negative coverage of President Trump.’
After failing in its attempt to delegitimize and defeat Donald Trump through persistently negative coverage of the candidate throughout the recent campaign, the establishment news media might have been expected to acknowledge its failures and make some effort toward restoring objectivity to journalism.
In the closing days of the 2016 election cycle, much of the elite media created and promoted the illusion that then-candidate Donald Trump had little hope of winning the presidency, and would likely, in the words of GQ's Jim Nelson, "lose this election badly."
If you're keeping score at home, the tally is Raghavan Mayur 2, Karl Rove zero.
A lot of people are walking into Raghavan Mayur’s office in Ramsey these days to ask how he conducts polls.
How did so many pollsters get the presidential election so wrong? The answer may involve shame, some of which belongs to research organizations themselves.
In the cornucopia of pro-Clinton polling that preceded the 2016 presidential election, two polls stood out as outliers: the USC/LA Times tracking poll and the Investor's Business Daily/TIPP tracking poll.
All night long, we heard the news networks talk about how "all" the polls and pundits were wrong. They were saying that Clinton is underperforming expectations, and voters were coming out for Trump in numbers no one had expected.
Most polls have painted an increasingly dire picture for Donald Trump’s presidential campaign, but a newly launched daily poll has been finding a very different result: Trump and Hillary Clinton are in a dead heat heading into the final two weeks before the election.
With the 2016 election nearly upon us, the political world is once again awash with presidential polls. Many of them show very different things, with some showing Hillary Clinton ahead and others Donald Trump. They can't all be right. How can you tell which polls to trust?
Long before blogger Nate Silver shot to fame for his 2012 election predictions, there was Raghavan Mayur.
The venerated Gallup Poll took a beating this year for being such an outlier in its predictions of who would win the presidency, and the New York Times's Nate Silver has now served up further evidence that the firm has lost its mojo. Silver analyzed the results obtained by about two dozen top polling firms that ran multiple surveys in the last three weeks of the campaign and then ranked the pollsters based on their accuracy: Gallup came in dead last, with an average error of 7.2 points compared to the actual results.
