2008 record      

Hillary Clinton took a 1-point lead in the IBD/TIPP presidential election tracking poll — 42% to 41% — which marks the first time Clinton has been in front in this poll. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson held steady at 8%, while Green Party candidate Jill Stein dipped at 3%.

Without rounding, Clinton currently stands at 41.6%, Trump at 40.8%, Johnson at 8.4% and Stein at 3.2%.

Clinton is also up by a point in a two-way matchup, 43% to 42%.

The IBD/TIPP presidential tracking poll of 873 likely voters has a margin of error of plus-or-minus 3.6 percentage points. It has a weighted response of 308 Democrats, 257 Republicans and 292 people who called themselves either "independents" or "other." The results are based on a 6-day rolling average.

Previous Days Tracking Results:

 

Oct. 20

Oct. 21

Oct. 22

Oct. 23

 Oct. 24

Clinton

40%

40%

40%

41%

41%

Trump

41%

41%

42%

43%

41%

Johnson

7%

8%

7%

7%

8%

Stein

5%

4%

4%

3%

4%

Other

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

Not sure

5%

5%

5%

4%

4%

                                                                                                                                                                                                   Over the past two days, Clinton has made gains among those living in the South (going from 39% to 42%), among self-described moderates (49% to 52%), and single women (50% to 54%). She lost ground, however, among union households, going from 54% support to 49%.

IBD/TIPP continues to show the race to be much tighter — well within the poll's margin of error — than other national election polls. The latest Real Clear Politics average, Clinton leads Trump by 5 points in a four-way matchup, and by 5.5% in a head-to-head poll. As it stands, however, Trump now ahead of Clinton in only one poll — Rasmussen Reports, where he leads by 2 points in a four-way race.

On Monday, Trump campaigned in Fla., where he denounced polls, saying "I believe we are actually winning."

"If you read The New York Times and if you read some of these phony papers — these are phony, disgusting, dishonest papers — but if you read the stuff, it's like what are we doing?"

However, Trump's own campaign manager admitted that "we are behind" on Meet the Press on Sunday, as did Trump himself, telling a Charlotte, N.C., morning radio news program that "I guess I'm somewhat behind in the polls, but not by much."

Clinton was in New Hampshire campaigning with uber-liberal Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren, who has hit Trump with some of the most barbed comments of the campaign. She told an audience "nasty women vote," a reference to a comment Trump made about Clinton during their third debate.

Other news that could affect the presidential campaign includes the announcement from the Obama administration that premiums are going up an average 25% next year for ObamaCare-compliant health plans.

Several states are experiencing far higher premiums hikes. In Illinois, the average increase is 44%, in Minnesota it's more than 50%, and in Oklahoma it's a stunning 76%.

At the very least, ObamaCare's ongoing implosion could have an effect on House and Senate races in states hardest hit by insurance defections and premium shocks, possibly impacting the Democrats' hopes of retaking either house of Congress.

Click here to read the original article on the Investor's Business Daily website.

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