2008 record      


No need to panic. Maybe the GOP will get lucky again next year when the Democratic nominee forgets to campaign there.

Considering that the Dem convention is being held in Milwaukee, though, it seems unlikely.

Marquette is a respected pollster but if you want to throw this one out the window and forget about it, I won’t blame you. Their final poll of Wisconsin in 2016 had it Clinton 46, Trump 40. They’ve proved they’re capable of a big miss. This would be a really big miss, though.

“We can debate about electability in the abstract all day, but if the polls still look like this in March it sure seems like it could weigh on Democratic voters,” says the NYT’s data guy, Nate Cohn. Indeed. Imagine being an undecided Democratic voter on Super Tuesday, with Biden and Warren each having won a few early states, having to choose between them — and then this poll drops showing Biden waltzing away with the 2020 election’s “tipping-point state” while Warren is deadlocked with Trump there. Whom would you vote for?

If you were still open to Warren, how would you feel if a second poll dropped, this time a national one, that looked like … this?

In a head-to-head 2020 election contest of Biden vs. Trump, the IBD/TIPP Poll found a 54%-42% advantage for Biden. A month earlier, Biden led Trump by 13 points. Sanders had a narrow 49%-45% edge over Trump, while Warren and Harris had slimmer 49%-46% leads.

                                                                                                                                                                                                     Independents preferred Biden vs. Trump, 55%-37%. Warren edges Trump with independents, 47%-45%, while Sanders has a 51%-42% advantage.

A blowout with boring Joe Biden or roll the dice on progressive hero Elizabeth Warren? Your move, Dems.

Please click here to read the entire article in Hot Air.

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