Former Vice President Joe Biden holds a steady lead in the Democratic nomination battle, the late January IBD/TIPP Poll finds. Yet Biden's support remains at a low point, and his advantage vs. President Donald Trump in the 2020 election has essentially disappeared. Meanwhile, Bernie Sanders, who is showing strength in early-voting-state polls, has overtaken Elizabeth Warren for second place.
Joe Biden Hangs On, As Bernie Sanders, Michael Bloomberg Rise
Joe Biden leads with 26% support in the February IBD/TIPP Poll, followed by Bernie Sanders at 19% and Elizabeth Warren at 13%. Former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg, with 8% support, has pulled into fourth place, ahead of South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg, backed by 7%.
Andrew Yang (4%), Amy Klobuchar (3%) and Tom Steyer (2%) are the only other candidates polling above 1%.
Biden's support was stable, though at the low point of his 26%-30% range in seven months of polling.
Bernie Sanders has reached his high point, bouncing back after slipping to 15% in January's IBD/TIPP Poll. Elizabeth Warren is at her lowest level, sliding from 19% in the prior poll.
Bloomberg continues to rise, gaining one point, fueled by the billionaire's massive advertising. Buttigieg's momentum has faded, after two months of polling at 9%.
But Buttigieg is still a contender in the early states of Iowa and New Hampshire, along with Biden, Sanders and Warren. The Iowa caucuses are Monday.
2020 Election: Joe Biden Vs. President Trump Is Toss-Up
In head-to-head general election polling, Joe Biden and Michael Bloomberg hold one-point leads over President Trump. Yet that's a virtual tie, well within the margin of error.
Trump leads Sanders by 2 points, Buttiegieg by 3 and Warren by 4. Earlier in January
Biden's lead over Trump has essentially vanished, falling from 13% in August to 5% in December and 2% in January's poll.
Bloomberg Leads Trump Among Investors
Self-described investors favor President Trump in all the head-to-head matchups — except vs. Bloomberg.
Bloomberg, whose financial data firm is well-known among investors, leads by 3 points among this group, 49%-46%.
Meanwhile, Trump leads by 1 point among investors vs. Joe Biden; 2 vs. Bernie Sanders; 4 vs. Pete Buttigieg; and 7 vs. Elizabeth Warren.
Can Joe Biden Or Bernie Sanders Unify The Party?
Joe Biden's biggest strength is his support among minority voters. He has the support of 40% of blacks, vs. 17% for Bernie Sanders and 11% for Elizabeth Warren. He's also buoyed by senior citizens, with 33% support. Sanders gets just 4% among older voters, while Warren has 15% support.
Biden's biggest weakness may be the lack of enthusiasm for his candidacy among younger voters. In the 25-44 age group, Biden polled at 12%, vs. 33% for Sanders and 14% for Warren.
Meanwhile, Sanders (13%) and Warren (10%) generate little enthusiasm among moderates, while Biden gets 29%.
The IBD/TIPP Poll reflects responses from 908 adults contacted via mobile phones and landlines from Jan. 23-30 and carries a 3.3-point margin of error. Polling for the Democratic presidential nomination includes a subset of 336 Democrats and independents who lean Democrat.
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